It’s week six in the XFL, something that didn’t get to happen in 2020, and there is already a potential playoff spot that can be clinched. Last week’s picks went 2-2, making the record 13-2 so far this season. Read on to see who wins this weekend.
Seattle Sea Dragons (3-2) vs. Orlando Guardians (0-5)
Time/TV: Saturday March 25th – 1:00 PM ET – Watch On: ABC & ESPN+
Line: SEA (-9.5) @ ORL, O/U 42.5
At some point, Orlando will get win number one on the season, but it won’t be this weekend. That is due largely to the improved defensive play of the Seattle Sea Dragons. Over the past two weekends, Seattle has surrendered the fewest points in the XFL (20). Orlando’s defense is the worst in the XFL. The only thing that will keep this game close is if Seattle turns the ball over three or more times, per usual.
The Pick: Seattle 30, Orlando 18
St. Louis Battlehawks (3-2) vs. Vegas Vipers (1-4)
Time/TV: Saturday, March 25th – 7:00PM ET – Watch On: FX & ESPN+
Line: STL (-3) @ LV, 44.5
St. Louis comes into this game a little deflated after dropping a home game to DC last weekend. Conversely, Vegas is riding the high of the first win of the season. Ticket sales seem to be up for Vegas this week as well, so a home crowd cheering on the Vipers is a good sign as well for Vegas. But, Vegas surrenders the second most points per game in the XFL (26.8) and St. Louis has a stronger defense and can finish games. If there is going to be an upset this weekend, it will be in this game, but there won’t be an upset this weekend. St. Louis wins a close one.
The Pick: St. Louis 26, Vegas 23
San Antonio Brahmas (1-4) vs. Arlington Renegades (3-2)
Time/TV: Sunday, March 26th – 3:00 PM ET – Watch On: ABC & ESPN+
Line: SA @ ARL (-3), 33
A unique back-to-back matchup has the Brahmas and the Renegades playing again this weekend. But his weekend, the Brahmas will be short TWO quarterbacks. Jack Coan and Reid Sinnett are out this weekend, forcing newly signed quarterback Kyle Benkert into action early. This does not bode well for the Brahmas, as San Antonio is already the second-lowest-scoring offense in the XFL (14.8 ppg). The good news for San Antonio is that the Renegades are the lowest-scoring offense in the XFL (13.8 ppg). Still, with a brand new quarterback in a struggling offense, it’s difficult to see San Antonio winning this one.
The Pick: Arlington 17, San Antonio 16
Houston Roughnecks (4-1) vs. DC Defenders (5-0)
Time/TV: Monday, March 27th – 7:00PM ET – Watch On: ESPN2 & ESPN+
Line: HOU @ DC (2.5), 42
The most anticipated matchup of the weekend falls under the bright lights of Monday night. The 4-1 Roughnecks travel to DC to take on the undefeated DC Defenders. This game features the number one (Houston) and two (DC) scoring offenses in the XFL, along with the number one scoring defense (Houston) and number one rushing offense (DC). This matchup is the best the XFL has had to offer this season so far, at least on paper. The Roughnecks and Defenders have found offensive success in exactly opposite ways. DC leads the league in rushing, while Houston is 6th. Houston is second in the league in passing, while DC is 6th. The team that will win this game is the team that forces its opponent out of its comfort zone offensively. DC has proven to be able to be just successful enough with the passing game to keep defenses off balance. DC has also played a tougher schedule so far this season and is at home. DC wins a thriller in the nation’s capital.
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